It seems likely that Jesus was a follower, then rival, then successor.
Nothing is certain.
There is a tradition that John was descended from Aaronid priests on both sides of his family. That seems strange, given his ministry, but not impossible.
There must have been plenty of out of power priests in Palestine, and especially in the North, but the Aaronids were definitely in power both there and in Jerusalem.
Sanders points out that the Jewish aristocracy in Sepphoris very near Capernaum were solidly for Rome and against their own Jewish peasantry if it came to a revolt of the latter.
Antipas' one big faux pas was one incidentally involving the Baptist, re his taking his brother's wife Herodias as his own.
There are many important implications regarding Jesus flowing from this brief account in the gospels, and in Josephus.
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