Great summations on this site. Terms search here: David Kaiser, or DK, for some of my past comments on his site.
I would say that, as I am sure many have long anticipated, these instabilities he notes going on now, will quickly grow into major military conflicts involving the great powers.
There are many reasons for this. Paramount is the nagging need for secure supplies of oil resources from this region, even though its proportion of world sources has declined over the decades.
I skimmed a book, some years ago now, The Middle East, Oil, and The Great Powers, recounting the history of rivalries in this region back into the 19th Century.
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